{"id":1119,"date":"2008-01-09T15:16:57","date_gmt":"2008-01-09T20:16:57","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/brucegarrett.com\/brucelog\/1119"},"modified":"2008-01-10T12:51:04","modified_gmt":"2008-01-10T17:51:04","slug":"sowhos-ahead-in-the-republican-primaries","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/brucegarrett.com\/brucelog\/1119","title":{"rendered":"So&#8230;Who&#8217;s Ahead In The Republican Primaries&#8230;?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Not McCain.&nbsp; Not Huckabee.<\/p>\n<p>Via Brad DeLong&#8230;\n<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p><strong><a href=\"http:\/\/delong.typepad.com\/sdj\/2008\/01\/mitt-romney-is.html\">Mitt Romney Is Ahead in the Republican Race<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><a title=\"Matthew Yglesias (January 09, 2008) - Delegate Count (Politics)\" href=\"http:\/\/matthewyglesias.theatlantic.com\/archives\/2008\/01\/delegate_count.php\">Matthew Yglesias<\/a> points out that Mitt Romney is ahead in delegates:<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>I saw some sentiment on TV last night that Michigan is must win for Romney, but I don&#8217;t really see it that way. Second place finishes are survivable for Romney as long as different people are beating him in different places and as long as he keeps picking up delegates. The GOP side has more winner-take-all primaries than does the Democratic side and, clearly, you can&#8217;t lose all of those. But basically while Romney&#8217;s not in good shape, he&#8217;s in at least okay shape.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p align=\"center\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"500\" height=\"310\" alt=\" \" src=\"http:\/\/matthewyglesias.theatlantic.com\/gopdelegates.png\" \/><\/p>\n<p align=\"left\">&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p align=\"left\">I strongly doubt it&#8217;s going to be McCain.&nbsp; It&#8217;s either Romney or Huckabee.&nbsp; My guess is that Huckabee will take it.&nbsp; They won&#8217;t trust Romney as much as they&#8217;ll trust Huckabee.&nbsp; All those church buses full of primary voters the movement conservatives have been using to keep the moderate wing of the GOP on the outside looking in&#8230;?&nbsp; They&#8217;re going to run their own damn candidate this year, and to hell with what the establishment wants them to do.&nbsp; After all&#8230;it&#8217;s their party now&#8230;<\/p>\n<p align=\"left\">&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p align=\"left\"><em>[Update&#8230;]<\/em> Looks like this was yet another Milt Romney ad-hoc rewrite of the facts&#8230;<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/blogs.abcnews.com\/politicalpunch\/2008\/01\/romneys-fishy-d.html\"><strong>Romney&#8217;s Fishy Delegate Claim<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Why is the former Massachusetts governor telling folks that he leads in delegates?<\/p>\n<p>In Boston today, Romney told supporters, &quot;we have more delegates than any other Republican candidate running for president.&quot;<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s the ABC News GOP Delegate Estimate:<\/p>\n<p>Huckabee &#8211; 31<br \/>\nRomney &#8211; 19<br \/>\nMcCain &#8211; 7<br \/>\nThompson &#8211; 3<br \/>\nHunter &#8211; 1<br \/>\nGiuliani &#8211; 0<br \/>\nPaul &#8211; 0<\/p>\n<p>According to my pal, ABC News&#8217; John Berman, the count the Romney folks have is:<\/p>\n<p>Romney &#8211; 15<br \/>\nMcCain &#8211; 12<br \/>\nThompson &#8211; 3<br \/>\nHuckabee &#8211; 2<br \/>\nHunter &#8211; 1<br \/>\nGiuliani &#8211; 0<br \/>\nPaul &#8211; 0<\/p>\n<p>Explains Berman, &quot;the way they are doing this is by simply not counting Iowa. They say that Iowa&#8217;s delegates are not technically committed through the caucus process, and so, instead of extrapolating how the delegates would be apportioned (which is what media, such as ABC News and the Associated Press, do) they just pretend like Iowa did not happen.&quot;<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>Right.&nbsp; Like he&#8217;s pretending all those nice things he said about gay equality while he was governor of Massachusetts didn&#8217;t happen&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Not McCain.&nbsp; Not Huckabee. Via Brad DeLong&#8230; Mitt Romney Is Ahead in the Republican Race Matthew Yglesias points out that Mitt Romney is ahead in delegates: I saw some sentiment on TV last night that Michigan is must win for Romney, but I don&#8217;t really see it that way. Second place finishes are survivable for [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4,1],"tags":[34,19],"class_list":["post-1119","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-politics","category-uncategorized","tag-george-bushs-america","tag-the-jackass-chronicles"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/brucegarrett.com\/brucelog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1119","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/brucegarrett.com\/brucelog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/brucegarrett.com\/brucelog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/brucegarrett.com\/brucelog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/brucegarrett.com\/brucelog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1119"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/brucegarrett.com\/brucelog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1119\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/brucegarrett.com\/brucelog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1119"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/brucegarrett.com\/brucelog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1119"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/brucegarrett.com\/brucelog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1119"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}